PMI, or Purchasing Managers’ Index, is an indicator of the economic health of the manufacturing sector. The PMI index is based on five major indicators: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries and the employment environment.
A PMI of more than 50 represents expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month. A reading under 50 represents a contraction, while a reading at 50 indicates no change.
The chart below shows the PMI for major economies around the globe. The sluggish growth of the U.S. leads the way, and only 6 countries listed are in a growth mode. This is a stark contrast from the first of the year when 22 countries were showing growing activity.
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PMI SUMMARY
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United States
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52.7
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Growing
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Russia
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52.6
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Growing
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Turkey
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52.3
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Growing
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South Africa
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51.6
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Growing
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India
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51.0
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Growing
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Israel
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50.7
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Growing
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Global
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49.6
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Contracting
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Poland
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49.5
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Contracting
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Japan
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49.1
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Contracting
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Singapore
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48.7
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Contracting
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Brazil
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48.7
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Contracting
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Czech Republic
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48.6
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Contracting
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Ireland
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48.5
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Contracting
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Germany
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47.9
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Contracting
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Hungary
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47.8
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Contracting
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Australia
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47.8
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Contracting
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Denmark
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47.7
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Contracting
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China
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47.7
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Contracting
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United Kingdom
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47.6
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Contracting
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Sweden
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47.6
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Contracting
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Austria
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47.6
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Contracting
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France
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47.3
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Contracting
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Korea
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47.1
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Contracting
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New Zealand
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46.5
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Contracting
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Euro-Zone
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46.4
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Contracting
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Netherlands
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46.0
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Contracting
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Switzerland
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44.8
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Contracting
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Italy
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44.0
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Contracting
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Taiwan
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43.9
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Contracting
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Spain
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43.8
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Contracting
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Greece
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40.9
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Contracting
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Data for Israel and New Zealand through 10/31/2011. All other data through 11/30/2011.
Source: Haver Analytics and Ned Davis Research
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While the U.S. certainly looks better on a relative basis, it is highly unlikely that global problems won’t continue to be a drag on our economy. We remain mildly bullish for now. – Stacey Wall
PMI Indicates Global Slowdown
A PMI of more than 50 represents expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month. A reading under 50 represents a contraction, while a reading at 50 indicates no change.
The chart below shows the PMI for major economies around the globe. The sluggish growth of the U.S. leads the way, and only 6 countries listed are in a growth mode. This is a stark contrast from the first of the year when 22 countries were showing growing activity.
PMI SUMMARY
United States
52.7
Growing
Russia
52.6
Growing
Turkey
52.3
Growing
South Africa
51.6
Growing
India
51.0
Growing
Israel
50.7
Growing
Global
49.6
Contracting
Poland
49.5
Contracting
Japan
49.1
Contracting
Singapore
48.7
Contracting
Brazil
48.7
Contracting
Czech Republic
48.6
Contracting
Ireland
48.5
Contracting
Germany
47.9
Contracting
Hungary
47.8
Contracting
Australia
47.8
Contracting
Denmark
47.7
Contracting
China
47.7
Contracting
United Kingdom
47.6
Contracting
Sweden
47.6
Contracting
Austria
47.6
Contracting
France
47.3
Contracting
Korea
47.1
Contracting
New Zealand
46.5
Contracting
Euro-Zone
46.4
Contracting
Netherlands
46.0
Contracting
Switzerland
44.8
Contracting
Italy
44.0
Contracting
Taiwan
43.9
Contracting
Spain
43.8
Contracting
Greece
40.9
Contracting
Data for Israel and New Zealand through 10/31/2011. All other data through 11/30/2011.
Source: Haver Analytics and Ned Davis Research
While the U.S. certainly looks better on a relative basis, it is highly unlikely that global problems won’t continue to be a drag on our economy. We remain mildly bullish for now. – Stacey Wall
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